How is China in so much debt?
Li Daokui has estimated that local Chinese authorities had by 2020 run up a much bigger tally of debt than previously realized, at some 90 trillion yuan ($12.6 trillion). Most of this debt came from building infrastructure, much of which is unlikely to generate revenues sufficient to pay off the obligations.
Second, China is now facing a deep and pervasive confidence problem that has taken a toll on consumption, private investment, and birthrates. Those issues could spread to other areas, including the financial sector. This confluence of pressures conjures up memories of the 2007-2008 global financial crisis.
Cities and provinces across the country have accumulated a massive amount of hidden debt following years of unchecked borrowing and spending. The International Monetary Fund and Wall Street banks estimate that the total outstanding off-balance-sheet government debt is around $7 trillion to $11 trillion.
But other experts argue the risk of a hard landing is low. China has little overseas debt, and a high national savings rate. In addition, most of the debt is state owned – state-controlled banks loaned funds to state-controlled firms – giving the government the ability to manage the situation.
At the top is Japan, whose national debt has remained above 100% of its GDP for two decades, reaching 255% in 2023.
An alternative measure of country wealth is based on Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), and is widely believed to be more reliable as a measure of relative GDP between countries than simple dollar values. In 2022, the IMF judged the Chinese economy in PPP terms to be 23% larger than America.
The United States is the undisputed heavyweight when it comes to the economies of the world. America's gross domestic product in 2022 was more than 40% greater than that of China, the world No.
Debt as a share of GDP has risen to about the same level as in the United States, while in dollar terms China's total debt ($47.5 trillion) is still markedly below that of the United States (close to $70 trillion). As for non-financial corporate debt, China's 28 percent share is the largest in the world.
The United States pays interest on approximately $850 billion in debt held by the People's Republic of China. China, however, is currently in default on its sovereign debt held by American bondholders.
It's going to put it into bonds of other countries. It will have to buy other currencies in order to invest in those countries' bonds. So US interest rates will no doubt rise as the supply of US Treasury bonds suddenly increases and the dollar will fall as China moves a lot of money out of dollars.
Who owes America the most money?
- As of Dec. ...
- U.S. national debt is categorized as intragovernmental debt and public debt. ...
- The remainder is public debt. ...
- As of Dec. ...
- Japan held $1.1 trillion in Treasury securities as of October 2023, beating out China as the largest foreign holder of U.S. debt.
Singapore is one of Asia's major financial centers. It is also one of the most prosperous countries on the planet. And all this has been achieved without taking on any meaningful public debt. In fact, very much like Norway, Singapore has more assets than debt.
As of Oct. 2022, China owns $769.6 billion of the total $7,565 billion U.S. national debt.
Years of elevated budget deficits, exacerbated by massive federal spending during the COVID-19 pandemic, have taken the debt to historic levels: totaling more than $26 trillion in 2023, U.S. federal government debt is now at its highest percentage of gross domestic product (GDP) since World War II.
China is one of the United States's largest creditors, owning about $859.4 billion in U.S. debt.
Rank | Country/Territory | GDP-PPP per capita ($) |
---|---|---|
1 | 🇱🇺Luxembourg | 143,304 |
2 | 🇮🇪Ireland | 137,638 |
3 | 🇸🇬Singapore | 133,108 |
4 | 🇶🇦Qatar | 114,210 |
Measured at market exchange rates, China's GDP was $18.3 trillion in 2022, 73 percent of the GDP of the United States and 10 times more than the 7 percent of US GDP it registered in 1990.
China Trade & Investment Summary
U.S. goods and services trade with China totaled an estimated $758.4 billion in 2022. Exports were $195.5 billion; imports were $562.9 billion.
Country group | Developing/Emerging Upper-middle income country Newly industrialised country |
Statistics | |
---|---|
Population | 1,409,670,000 (2024) |
GDP | $18.560 trillion (nominal; 2024 est.) $35.032 trillion (PPP; 2024 est.) |
GDP rank | 2nd (nominal; 2023) 1st (PPP; 2023) |
- Switzerland. #1 in Economically stable. #1 in Best Countries Overall. ...
- United Arab Emirates. #2 in Economically stable. ...
- Canada. #3 in Economically stable. ...
- Germany. #4 in Economically stable. ...
- Japan. #5 in Economically stable. ...
- Sweden. #6 in Economically stable. ...
- Australia. #7 in Economically stable. ...
- Netherlands. #8 in Economically stable.
Why is Luxembourg so rich?
The economy of Luxembourg is largely dependent on the banking, steel, and industrial sectors. Citizens of Luxembourg enjoy the highest per capita gross domestic product in the world, according to an IMF estimate in 2022.
With a debt of $290.5 billion, Switzerland ranks as one of the top countries that owe the US money. Investors in Switzerland have also increased their holdings of US debt. The country's other main creditors include countries such as Germany and France.
At the end of 2021, of the 98 countries for whom data was available, Pakistan ($27.4 billion of external debt to China), Angola (22.0 billion), Ethiopia (7.4 billion), Kenya (7.4 billion) and Sri Lanka (7.2 billion) held the biggest debts to China.
Russia holds US Treasury bonds worth about 170 billion USD. This gives Putin exactly zero leverage over the US government.
Who owns this debt? The public owes 74 percent of the current federal debt. Intragovernmental debt accounts for 26 percent or $5.9 trillion. The public includes foreign investors and foreign governments.
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